Greenhouse CAPEX, OPEX and ROI scenario
Answer first: payback = CAPEX ÷ (annual revenue − annual OPEX), and ROI over N years = (margin × N − CAPEX) ÷ CAPEX. Enter your own costs, marketable output and prices.
Cost vs ROI by year
Year 0 is the CAPEX outlay; each later year repeats your annual OPEX and revenue. The cumulative column shows when the project turns positive in this undiscounted scenario — not a forecast.
Complete the fields above to see the year-by-year table.
Plan the inputs
Worked sample scenarios
Hypothetical round numbers that show how the factors combine. They are not prices, yields or benchmarks for any crop, country or supplier — replace every value with your own quotations and production records.
Sample A — 1 ha tomato, plastic multi-span, drip fertigation, pad-and-fan cooling
10,000 m²; factor CAPEX 45 + 8 + 15 + 5 per m²; 60,000 site works; annual energy 40,000, labour 90,000, other inputs 30,000, fertilizer 20,000, other 15,000; 250,000 kg sold at 1.20 per kg; 10-year horizon.
Sample B — 0.5 ha leafy greens, hydroponic channels, heating and screens, full automation
5,000 m²; factor CAPEX 60 + 25 + 20 + 12 per m²; 40,000 site works; annual energy 30,000, labour 50,000, other inputs 15,000, nutrients 10,000, other 10,000; 120,000 kg sold at 2.00 per kg; 10-year horizon.
Method and assumptions
CAPEX = area × (base build cost per m² + separately entered equipment factors per m²) + other CAPEX. OPEX = energy + labour + other inputs + separate fertilizer + other OPEX. Count each cost once; enter zero for factors already included in the base price. Revenue = annual marketable output × price. Undiscounted, before tax, depreciation and financing.
Formula source: CAPEX = area × (CAPEX per m² + structure + irrigation/fertigation + climate + automation per m²) + other CAPEX; OPEX = energy + labour + inputs + fertilizer + other. Simple payback = CAPEX ÷ annual operating margin; ROI = (margin × years − CAPEX) ÷ CAPEX. Undiscounted, before tax and financing.
SeedMatchGroup reviews commercial agricultural projects from USD 250,000. Buyers submit requirements to us; we review them before deciding whether to approach independent suppliers and normalise any bids. We do not connect buyers directly with manufacturers.
Next steps
Questions
- How is greenhouse payback calculated here?
- Simple payback is total CAPEX divided by the annual operating margin (revenue minus OPEX). It is undiscounted and excludes tax and financing.
- Why are there no default costs or yields?
- Construction cost, energy tariffs, labour and crop yields vary by country, crop and design, so every value must come from your own data or supplier quotations.
- What does a negative ROI mean?
- The margin entered does not recover the CAPEX within the selected years. Review assumptions with your advisers before proceeding.
